SYS-CON MEDIA Authors: Liz McMillan, Kevin Benedict, Zakia Bouachraoui, Elizabeth White, Pat Romanski

Blog Feed Post

Predictions for 2011

Some predictions for 2011.  In no particular order or importance.

1. CEP – The Feature

There’s a couple of things going on here.  The most important being that Mark Palmer is writing blog posts about Richard Tibbetts writing blog posts on the Tabb Group’s site about writing better software on Wall Street (because software startups write better code and deal with bigger problems than firms on Wall Street, especially exchanges, do, right?…).  No customer win.  No ‘yet another use for CEP.’  Just good old fashion buzz-word copy designed to remind people that there’s still one stand-alone CEP vendor. (click click click, is this link working?)

CEP will become a feature of larger, more established, horizontal offerings.  Because once the opportunities in Canada and South America dry up (you know those hotbeds for financial engineering, right? Canada and South America?  You don’t?) the reality will sink in.  What’s that reality?  That no one in NYC is buying CEP engines for HFT trading anymore.  Why?  The CEP vendors don’t know.  Even Apama has seen the light.  You can now process events one at a time, or within the context of their CEP engine.  Stunning.  They’re pushing the ‘platform.’  Good.  It’s about time Tibco got some competition.

So this coming year won’t be the year of CEP, it will be the yesteryear of CEP, like, “Remember yesteryear, when we all thought CEP was going to be really hot?”  CEP will become a feature found in Event Processing Platforms.  And we’ll finally start to see adoption of those platforms in large, house hold names.

2. Hadoop & Analytical Databases

People are going to begin realizing that databases that incorporate map/reduce into their architecture will be *no faster* than Hadoop.  Why?  Go buy a book about Hadoop and then sit down with a piece of paper and pencil.  Databases are designed to support multitudes of users all asking different questions.  And vendors would like to have us believe that they’re also all running long lasting jobs taking advantage of their shiny map/reduce implementations.  Long lasting.  As in, not interactive.  As in, batch jobs running on a map/reduce framework.  The bigger the job, the less increase in throughput the analytical database will be able to offer.  It’s physics.  Save your money.  So this coming year, we’ll probably see further consolidation and some unexpected exits in this area.

3.  And Speaking About Hadoop

Batch is dead as competitive advantage.  As Jeff Jonas loves to point out, and points out really well, data velocity is growing.  And the rate at which data velocity is growing is increasing.  And companies can’t process the data they have today.  And many companies are actually making bad decisions with more data, not better decisions, why?  Because the data has lost most of its value once it’s been crunched.  You can only take a batch system like Hadoop so far.  But right now (at least for the near future) you actually still need to incorporate some ideas from the batch world for everything to come together.  So this coming year, we’ll see more people start treating Hadoop as either a must have to compete (minimal cost of entry) or “How f(*)(* much does that cluster cost to run?  There’s got to be a better way!”  It’s time to outsource your Hadoop cluster.

4. Real Time & Batch

I’m not saying that Hadoop or Map/Reduce is a waste of time and money like some vendors who make outrageous claims like, “Google has stopped using map/reduce.”  That’s idiotic.  Please put the kool-aid down, you’ve had enough to drink.  What’s important is the ability to analyze data in flight, to make decisions while there’s still the opportunity to have an impact.  How does one accomplish this?  By having a context in which events are analyzed.  How is context built?  Via the constant processing of events in flight, constructing and augmenting context, and supplementing that context with the result of monster jobs run on gazilla-bytes of data (like that? gazilla- it’s mine).  So this coming year, we’ll see a focus on moving analytics to real time.  (deeper analytics than VWAP-please!)

5. The Big Picture

There have been some really neato-keeno entries in the visualization space.  Things like Tableau, Spotfire, etc.  But they’re great for analysis of relatively static data sources.  They’re not for real time stuff.  Even offerings from vendors like Panopticon, which can provide some insight into multidimensional data sources updating in real time, really offer quite limited analysis tools for big data.  So in the coming year, we should see more focus on real time data mining.

6.  Did He Say, “Big Data?”

Yup.  I said it.  I’ve heard people define big data as more data than will fit on one machine.  Those people haven’t worked on the machines I’ve worked on.  I define big data as “when you can’t turn your data into actionable intelligence fast enough to have an impact during the window of opportunity.”  Or something like that.  I’m not in marketing.  Common patterns for analyzing big data are emerging that tie as-it-happens analysis with context and historical data.  The lines are blurring.  It’s all just becoming data.  And business wants it all.  Even my father-in-law, in Germany, asked, “Ja, SAP wants me to store my data in ze cloud.”  Everyone knows about big data and 2011 is going to be all about it.  Getting it.  Storing it.  Analyzing it.  Visualizing it.  And then we’ll see the real emergence of privacy issues, like what happens when our respective governments start using simple tools like the ‘People You May Know’ from Linkedin during child pornography investigations?  It’s going to happen.  Our government isn’t ready.  The legal infrstructure isn’t there.  There will be the formation of chaos in this regard in 2011.

7.  Computer Network Attack Platforms (CNA)

In 2011, something important is going to happen.  The general populace will be made aware that, in addition to all the traditional, ground-based, we can’t win engagements in places like Afghanistan and Iraq, that we’re also involved in a different kind of war.  One that rages on every day, one that runs 24×7 and involves facets of technology present both on earth and in space and in the Internet.  And that’s cyber warfare.  World War III is here already – China has already ‘stolen’ the Internet from the United States for about 15 minutes, diverting the majority of our most important Internet based traffic through their country for storage and analysis.  Doesn’t that raise an eyebrow?  It should.  One of the biggest things that happened in 2010 went off without a hitch and without a great deal of coverage.  Iran’s nuclear power plant, the one everyone was afraid of, was rendered inoperable by a virus.  Because that plant is inoperable, Russia is going to continue to make big money.  And Israel is going to sleep easier.  Odd bedfellows, wouldn’t you say?  We’re going to learn more about CNA’s in 2011.

7.  What about NoSQL?

Yawn.  It’s going to be a TWO BILLION DOLLAR market.  Just like CEP was.  Really.

Happy New Year!

Read the original blog entry...

More Stories By Colin Clark

Colin Clark is the CTO for Cloud Event Processing, Inc. and is widely regarded as a thought leader and pioneer in both Complex Event Processing and its application within Capital Markets.

Follow Colin on Twitter at http:\\\EventCloudPro to learn more about cloud based event processing using map/reduce, complex event processing, and event driven pattern matching agents. You can also send topic suggestions or questions to [email protected]

Latest Stories
Cognitive Computing is becoming the foundation for a new generation of solutions that have the potential to transform business. Unlike traditional approaches to building solutions, a cognitive computing approach allows the data to help determine the way applications are designed. This contrasts with conventional software development that begins with defining logic based on the current way a business operates. In her session at 18th Cloud Expo, Judith S. Hurwitz, President and CEO of Hurwitz & ...
The Jevons Paradox suggests that when technological advances increase efficiency of a resource, it results in an overall increase in consumption. Writing on the increased use of coal as a result of technological improvements, 19th-century economist William Stanley Jevons found that these improvements led to the development of new ways to utilize coal. In his session at 19th Cloud Expo, Mark Thiele, Chief Strategy Officer for Apcera, compared the Jevons Paradox to modern-day enterprise IT, examin...
"Cloud computing is certainly changing how people consume storage, how they use it, and what they use it for. It's also making people rethink how they architect their environment," stated Brad Winett, Senior Technologist for DDN Storage, in this interview at 20th Cloud Expo, held June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY.
"NetApp's vision is how we help organizations manage data - delivering the right data in the right place, in the right time, to the people who need it, and doing it agnostic to what the platform is," explained Josh Atwell, Developer Advocate for NetApp, in this interview at 20th Cloud Expo, held June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY.
Sold by Nutanix, Nutanix Mine with Veeam can be deployed in minutes and simplifies the full lifecycle of data backup operations, including on-going management, scaling and troubleshooting. The offering combines highly-efficient storage working in concert with Veeam Backup and Replication, helping customers achieve comprehensive data protection for all their workloads — virtual, physical and private cloud —to meet increasing business demands for uptime and productivity.
The Software Defined Data Center (SDDC), which enables organizations to seamlessly run in a hybrid cloud model (public + private cloud), is here to stay. IDC estimates that the software-defined networking market will be valued at $3.7 billion by 2016. Security is a key component and benefit of the SDDC, and offers an opportunity to build security 'from the ground up' and weave it into the environment from day one. In his session at 16th Cloud Expo, Reuven Harrison, CTO and Co-Founder of Tufin, ...
While the focus and objectives of IoT initiatives are many and diverse, they all share a few common attributes, and one of those is the network. Commonly, that network includes the Internet, over which there isn't any real control for performance and availability. Or is there? The current state of the art for Big Data analytics, as applied to network telemetry, offers new opportunities for improving and assuring operational integrity. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Jim Frey, Vice President of S...
Rodrigo Coutinho is part of OutSystems' founders' team and currently the Head of Product Design. He provides a cross-functional role where he supports Product Management in defining the positioning and direction of the Agile Platform, while at the same time promoting model-based development and new techniques to deliver applications in the cloud.
In his keynote at 18th Cloud Expo, Andrew Keys, Co-Founder of ConsenSys Enterprise, provided an overview of the evolution of the Internet and the Database and the future of their combination – the Blockchain. Andrew Keys is Co-Founder of ConsenSys Enterprise. He comes to ConsenSys Enterprise with capital markets, technology and entrepreneurial experience. Previously, he worked for UBS investment bank in equities analysis. Later, he was responsible for the creation and distribution of life settl...
"We were founded in 2003 and the way we were founded was about good backup and good disaster recovery for our clients, and for the last 20 years we've been pretty consistent with that," noted Marc Malafronte, Territory Manager at StorageCraft, in this interview at 20th Cloud Expo, held June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY.
DevOps is often described as a combination of technology and culture. Without both, DevOps isn't complete. However, applying the culture to outdated technology is a recipe for disaster; as response times grow and connections between teams are delayed by technology, the culture will die. A Nutanix Enterprise Cloud has many benefits that provide the needed base for a true DevOps paradigm. In their Day 3 Keynote at 20th Cloud Expo, Chris Brown, a Solutions Marketing Manager at Nutanix, and Mark Lav...
@CloudEXPO and @ExpoDX, two of the most influential technology events in the world, have hosted hundreds of sponsors and exhibitors since our launch 10 years ago. @CloudEXPO and @ExpoDX New York and Silicon Valley provide a full year of face-to-face marketing opportunities for your company. Each sponsorship and exhibit package comes with pre and post-show marketing programs. By sponsoring and exhibiting in New York and Silicon Valley, you reach a full complement of decision makers and buyers in ...
There are many examples of disruption in consumer space – Uber disrupting the cab industry, Airbnb disrupting the hospitality industry and so on; but have you wondered who is disrupting support and operations? AISERA helps make businesses and customers successful by offering consumer-like user experience for support and operations. We have built the world’s first AI-driven IT / HR / Cloud / Customer Support and Operations solution.
Historically, some banking activities such as trading have been relying heavily on analytics and cutting edge algorithmic tools. The coming of age of powerful data analytics solutions combined with the development of intelligent algorithms have created new opportunities for financial institutions. In his session at 20th Cloud Expo, Sebastien Meunier, Head of Digital for North America at Chappuis Halder & Co., discussed how these tools can be leveraged to develop a lasting competitive advantage ...
LogRocket helps product teams develop better experiences for users by recording videos of user sessions with logs and network data. It identifies UX problems and reveals the root cause of every bug. LogRocket presents impactful errors on a website, and how to reproduce it. With LogRocket, users can replay problems.