Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/66gd8c/united_arab_emirat) has announced the addition of the "United Arab Emirates Telecommunications Report Q3 2012" report to their offering.

BMI's Q312 update to the UAE's telecommunications market report incorporates market data from the Telecommunications Regulatory Authority (TRA) and telecoms providers Etisalat and Emirates Integrated Telecommunication Company (du) relating to the end of March 2012. It contains an analysis of the mobile, fixed-line and broadband markets, and recent regulatory developments. It also contains growth estimates for the key sectors during the forecast period, through to 2016.

According to the TRA, there were 12.367mn mobile subscribers in the UAE at the end of March 2012.

This is growth of 5.5% q-o-q, significantly higher than average quarterly growth of 1.8% during 2012. The market recorded net additions of 640,000 subscribers in Q112, equivalent of around 80% of the total net additions of 801,000 recorded in the 12 months to December 2011. Despite the UAE's relatively high mobile penetration rate, the author forecasts positive growth in the mobile market over the next five years. The author forecasts an overall growth of 9.5% during 2012 and average growth of 2.2% for the five years to 2016.

This will bring the mobile subscriber base to around 14mn subscribers, a penetration rate of 165%. We note that the fixed-line market will experience upside pressure from increased competition between Etisalat and du due to the implementation of carrier pre-selection services. However, this will be counterbalanced by increasing fixed to mobile substitution, which was expected to intensify with the roll-out of next generation mobile broadband technologies. The fixed-line penetration in the UAE is to reach 22.9% at the end of 2012. The author also expects positive growth for the remainder of the forecast period, although faster population growth based on BMI data means fixed-line penetration rates are expected to decline from 2012.

The author expects the broadband market to grow by 9.5% in 2012 to reach a penetration rate of 11.8%. By the end of 2016, we expect the UAE to have a broadband penetration rate of about 13.8%.

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