|By Marketwired .||
|November 19, 2012 07:20 PM EST||
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA -- (Marketwire) -- 11/20/12 --
To High River Gold Shareholders,
Both High River Gold and Nord Gold put out their Q3 financial results last week. Below is a comparison of the first 9 months of 2012:
HRG had production of 254.8koz. vs. Nord at 515.0k oz. - 49.5% of Nord's total. HRG had revenues of $422.5M vs. Nord at 851.1M - 49.6% of Nord's total. HRG had EBITDA of $208.8M vs. Nord at $349.2M - 59.8% of Nord's total. HRG had cash flow of $179.2M vs. Nord at $71.0M - 252% of Nord's total. HRG had a net profit of $137.0M vs. Nord at $123.2M - 111% of Nord's total. At end of Q3, HRG had liquidity of $257.7M (including $89.4M third party stock (Detour Gold), $113.3M loans to Nord and $55M in cash). It had $10.3M debt owed to the 50% partner in Prognoz. At end of Q3, Nord had $102.4M in cash and total debt of $523.2M.
Note: these numbers reflect 100% of both companies and do not deduct for non-controlling interests.
Without HRG, in the first 9 months of the year, Nord would have had negative cash flow of $108.2M, a loss of $13.8M and a negative cash balance of $10.9M. The EBITDA comparison continues to show the superior performance of HRG's assets over Nord's non-HRG assets. The cash flow and profit comparisons highlight the substantial debt that Nord is carrying.
There have been a few interesting events recently that are worth mentioning. Firstly, Nord has repaid $52.7M in loans to HRG bringing the total loans from HRG down to $113M. Secondly, in HRG's press release it says, "The Bissa project is on track to deliver first gold in H1 2013 and we now believe that production of gold at Bissa can be started in the earlier part of the announced period. " To remind you, a Morgan Stanley report dated Feb. 17, 2012 projects that Bissa will produce 95koz. of gold in 2013 and add $145M of EBITDA.
In regards to the Prognoz silver project, it is interesting to note that certain parties to the lock-up agreements (for the current offer) have some connection to both HRG and Prognoz via direct and indirect investments. Therefore, it would not be surprising if HRG/Nord and the other 50% partners in Prognoz come to some sort of agreement on settling legal disputes and bankruptcy proceedings next year. As I have stated previously, a spinoff of Prognoz would be beneficial to all parties - especially considering certain predictions that silver will play catch up to gold in terms of historic ratios. Prognoz is in the top ten silver properties in the world in terms of resources, but tops the list with grades.
Nord's most recent offer for HRG of $1.40 share is at a P/E of 7.3 vs. the industry average (for mid-cap gold producers) at a 25 P/E. Based on this average, Nord's cash offer should be $4.80/share. The share swap offer of .285 Nord share for each HRG share translates to 100% of HRG being worth 58% of Nord's total value. This is almost equal to the 59.8% of Nord's EBITDA contributed by HRG, however, this does not reflect HRG minority's portion of the $247.4M of HRG's net liquidity. When factoring this in, it brings 100% of HRG up to 70% of Nord's total value. This means HRG shareholders should have been offered 76M shares of Nord which works out to an exchange of .363 Nord share for each HRG share (calcs linked below). Even this number gives zero value for the Prognoz property.
Nord's offer expires in one week's time. To date we have collected confirmations from shareholders with approx. 90.2M shares (10.73% of total HRG shares and 43% of minority) that they will not tender to Nord's offer. This includes shares owned in funds managed by Eric Sprott (HRG's largest minority shareholder). Nord would have needed 90% of minority to tender to the current offer in order to squeeze the rest out. With 43% of minority indicating they will not tender, this should prevent this from happening on the Nov. 27th expiry date. Also, since those holding over 10% of total shares have indicate they will not tender, Nord will not be able to use an exemption eliminating the requirement for a majority of minority vote in a second stage transaction. To use this exemption they would have needed to own 90% of total shares. Therefore, if Nord wants to continue its buyout effort and acquire all shares and vote the shares tendered to this offer, it will have to announce a subsequent amalgamation offer and complete the transaction within 120 days of the expiry of the current offer. Nord would need to call a special shareholders meeting with proper notice, which puts the earliest possible meeting dates around Dec. 31 - Jan. 2 range - depending on mailing and preparation time. At this meeting, only those voting in person or by proxy count. If a majority of minority is required, we may already be able to win this vote with the 90.2M shares if Nord cannot get a greater number to vote in its favour. However, to be certain we will be able to block, it would be best if we collect another 14.6M shares to garner ultimate majority of minority (104.8M shares). As with Nord's take-over attempt in 2009, there are certain funds that will not confirm their share counts or intentions, but will vote with us anyway. Therefore, I believe our numbers to be greater than stated above.
If any funds owning HRG shares have not contacted me yet, I encourage you to do so. Confirming that we have support of majority of minority will send Nord the message that they need to up their offer significantly. If we defeat this offer outright, we could see a significant increase in HRG's share price. In 2009, when we defeated Severstal/Nord's offer, HRG's share price tripled within 5 months of the offer expiry date.
Link to HRG Q3 results
Link to share swap calculations
Disclaimer: I have received written or verbal confirmations of shareholder counts from those that will not tender. If any of these shareholders have changed their mind, since sold their shares, or not been accurate in their statements, it will change the share counts stated above.
In his session at DevOps Summit, Andrei Yurkevich, CTO at Altoros, provided an overview of all the benefits and opportunities, as well as drawbacks of deploying Cloud Foundry PaaS with Juju and compared it to BOSH. Discover the features that overlap, and understand what Juju Charm is, what it is not, where you use one or the other or where you use both BOSH and Juju Charms together. Andrei Yurkevich is Cloud Foundry protagonist and CTO at Altoros. Under his supervision, the Altoros engineering ...
May. 6, 2015 07:30 AM EDT Reads: 3,652
Shipping daily, injecting faults, and keeping an extremely high availability "without Ops"? Understand why NoOps does not mean no operations. Agile development methodologies require evolved operations to be successful. In his keynote at DevOps Summit, David Tesar, Microsoft Technical Evangelist on Microsoft Azure and DevOps, will discuss how Microsoft teams who have made huge progress with a DevOps transformation effectively utilize operations staff and how challenges were overcome. Regardless ...
May. 6, 2015 07:00 AM EDT Reads: 963
Cloud computing started a technology revolution; now DevOps is driving that revolution forward. By enabling new approaches to service delivery, cloud and DevOps together are delivering even greater speed, agility, and efficiency. No wonder leading innovators are adopting DevOps and cloud together! In his session at DevOps Summit, Andi Mann, Vice President of Strategic Solutions at CA Technologies, explored the synergies in these two approaches, with practical tips, techniques, research data, wa...
May. 6, 2015 07:00 AM EDT Reads: 5,905
Software is eating the world. Companies that were not previously in the technology space now find themselves competing with Google and Amazon on speed of innovation. As the innovation cycle accelerates, companies must embrace rapid and constant change to both applications and their infrastructure, and find a way to deliver speed and agility of development without sacrificing reliability or efficiency of operations. In her Day 2 Keynote DevOps Summit, Victoria Livschitz, CEO of Qubell, discussed...
May. 6, 2015 06:00 AM EDT Reads: 4,815
The recent trends like cloud computing, social, mobile and Internet of Things are forcing enterprises to modernize in order to compete in the competitive globalized markets. However, enterprises are approaching newer technologies with a more silo-ed way, gaining only sub optimal benefits. The Modern Enterprise model is presented as a newer way to think of enterprise IT, which takes a more holistic approach to embracing modern technologies.
May. 6, 2015 06:00 AM EDT Reads: 4,899
Security can create serious friction for DevOps processes. We've come up with an approach to alleviate the friction and provide security value to DevOps teams. In her session at DevOps Summit, Shannon Lietz, Senior Manager of DevSecOps at Intuit, will discuss how DevSecOps got started and how it has evolved. Shannon Lietz has over two decades of experience pursuing next generation security solutions. She is currently the DevSecOps Leader for Intuit where she is responsible for setting and driv...
May. 6, 2015 06:00 AM EDT Reads: 2,940
“Oh, dev is dev and ops is ops, and never the twain shall meet.” With apoloies to Rudyard Kipling and all of his fans, this describes the early state of the two sides of DevOps. Yet the DevOps approach is demanded by cloud computing, as the speed, flexibility, and scalability in today's so-called “Third Platform” must not be hindered by the traditional limitations of software development and deployment. A recent report by Gartner, for example, says that 25% of Global 2000 companies will b...
May. 6, 2015 05:45 AM EDT Reads: 1,899
Software-driven innovation is becoming a primary approach to how businesses create and deliver new value to customers. A survey of 400 business and IT executives by the IBM Institute for Business Value showed businesses that are more effective at software delivery are also more profitable than their peers nearly 70 percent of the time (1). DevOps provides a way for businesses to remain competitive, applying lean and agile principles to software development to speed the delivery of software that ...
May. 6, 2015 05:45 AM EDT Reads: 5,314
SYS-CON Events announced today that FierceDevOps will exhibit at SYS-CON's 16th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on June 9-11, 2015, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. FierceDevOps keeps software developers and IT operations personnel updated on the latest news and trends around the rapidly evolving role of the traditional IT worker.
May. 6, 2015 05:30 AM EDT Reads: 2,535
JFrog on Thursday announced that it has added Docker support to Bintray, its distribution-as-a-service (DaaS) platform. When combined with JFrog’s Artifactory binary repository management system, organizations can now manage Docker images with an end-to-end solution that supports all technologies. The new version of Bintray allows organizations to create an unlimited number of private Docker repositories, and through the use of fast Akamai content delivery networks (CDNs), it decreases the dow...
May. 6, 2015 05:30 AM EDT Reads: 2,419
More organizations are embracing DevOps to realize compelling business benefits such as more frequent feature releases, increased application stability, and more productive resource utilization. However, security and compliance monitoring tools have not kept up and often represent the single largest remaining hurdle to continuous delivery. In their session at DevOps Summit, Justin Criswell, Senior Sales Engineer at Alert Logic, Ricardo Lupo, a Solution Architect with Chef, will discuss how to ...
May. 6, 2015 05:15 AM EDT Reads: 2,033
What exactly is a cognitive application? In her session at 16th Cloud Expo, Ashley Hathaway, Product Manager at IBM Watson, will look at the services being offered by the IBM Watson Developer Cloud and what that means for developers and Big Data. She'll explore how IBM Watson and its partnerships will continue to grow and help define what it means to be a cognitive service, as well as take a look at the offerings on Bluemix. She will also check out how Watson and the Alchemy API team up to off...
May. 6, 2015 05:15 AM EDT Reads: 2,315
Thanks to Docker, it becomes very easy to leverage containers to build, ship, and run any Linux application on any kind of infrastructure. Docker is particularly helpful for microservice architectures because their successful implementation relies on a fast, efficient deployment mechanism – which is precisely one of the features of Docker. Microservice architectures are therefore becoming more popular, and are increasingly seen as an interesting option even for smaller projects, instead of bein...
May. 6, 2015 05:00 AM EDT Reads: 3,454
SYS-CON Events announced today that Site24x7, the cloud infrastructure monitoring service, will exhibit at SYS-CON's 16th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on June 9-11, 2015, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. Site24x7 is a cloud infrastructure monitoring service that helps monitor the uptime and performance of websites, online applications, servers, mobile websites and custom APIs. The monitoring is done from 50+ locations across the world and from various wireless carr...
May. 6, 2015 05:00 AM EDT Reads: 2,592
SYS-CON Events announced today that WSM International (WSM), the world’s leading cloud and server migration services provider, will exhibit at SYS-CON's 16th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on June 9-11, 2015, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. WSM is a solutions integrator with a core focus on cloud and server migration, transformation and DevOps services.
May. 6, 2015 04:45 AM EDT Reads: 2,519