Click here to close now.

SYS-CON MEDIA Authors: Liz McMillan, Elizabeth White, Carmen Gonzalez, Plutora Blog, Pat Romanski

News Feed Item

Big pharma will increasingly tap M&A to close $100 billion growth gap, but path to deals grows more complex

Ernst & Young's newly released "Firepower Index" finds big pharma's capacity for M&A has decreased just when it needs transactions for growth and shareholder returns

SAN FRANCISCO, Jan. 7, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Big pharma companies are facing a widening "growth gap" that will increase pressure to drive growth through mergers and acquisitions (M&A).  But big pharma's attempts to make deals will be challenged by its diminished resources and fiercer competition for attractive assets from rapidly growing big biotech and specialty pharma companies. These and other findings were released today by Ernst & Young in the report Closing the gap? Big pharma's growth challenge and implications for deals.

"While the dynamics of the pharma industry remain fluid, the deal environment in 2013 and beyond will be more complex and competitive," said Glen Giovannetti, Ernst & Young's Global Life Sciences Leader. "Life sciences companies that are positioned appropriately should benefit from increased competition and see higher premiums. However, the finite resources of many big pharma companies and the need to make prudent acquisitions to address the immediate growth gap mean they will likely be even more selective about the targets they pursue."

Big pharma's growth and "firepower" gaps

With continued flat sales in mature markets, big pharma—defined as the 16 largest US, European and Japanese pharma companies measured by revenue—has increasingly looked to emerging markets to drive overall revenue growth. However, a slowdown in these markets as a result of various factors has widened the "growth gap" facing the industry. By comparing the gap between IMS Health's forecast for the global drug market and industry analysts' estimates of big pharma sales over the next 3 years, Ernst & Young estimates that this growth gap will reach approximately US$100 billion by 2015. In other words, big pharma will need an additional US$100 billion in revenue in 2015 just to keep up with overall market growth.

Thanks to a flat outlook in developed markets— in part a result of stagnation in the Eurozone — and a slowdown in emerging markets, sources of organic growth are under pressure. As a result, many big pharma companies are likely to accelerate their search for inorganic growth through M&A in 2013. However the capacity of big pharma to conduct such deals has diminished in recent years. This is due to less available operating cash resulting from slower revenue growth— due partly from continued pressure on drug pricing — and increased borrowing to fund higher dividends, stock repurchases and previous transactions. According to Ernst & Young, the financial capacity or "firepower" of big pharma to conduct deals has declined by 23% between 2006 and 2012.

Big pharma's new competition for assets

Even as big pharma's deal making ability has shrunk, the firepower of big biotech and specialty pharma (including generics) companies has increased. According to Ernst & Young's Firepower Index, between 2006 and 2012 the firepower of big biotech has increased by 61% while specialty pharma's firepower is up 20%. As a result of these shifts, big pharma's share of the combined acquisition capacity of these three segments has fallen from 85% in 2006 to 75% in 2012.

Implications for 2013 and beyond

In addition to a more competitive and complex deal environment, the report identifies several key trends for transactions in the coming months and years.

  • More bolt-on acquisitions: Only a handful of big pharma companies now have the firepower to pursue M&A targets above US$60 billion. However with big biotechs and specialty pharma having joined big pharma in their capacity to engage in smaller deals, more bolt-on acquisitions are anticipated.
  • More divestitures: As pharma companies look to boost firepower and sharpen their strategic focus, it is likely they will consider more divestures of non-strategic assets. Both corporate investors and private equity are seen as likely acquirers.
  • More offshore deals and emerging markets deals: The need to address the growth gap will drive pharma companies to look for attractive acquisitions everywhere. For US buyers, high tax rates in the US may increase the attractiveness of using offshore cash reserves to buy non-US companies. With 2012 emerging market sales growth rates for big pharma declining by about 50%, many companies will need to close this gap through more deals in emerging markets.

"With fewer options for organic growth, pharma companies will need transactions and, more than ever, measures to build and conserve firepower are vital," said Jeffrey Greene, Ernst & Young's Global Life Sciences Transaction Advisory Leader. "Pharma companies addressing the growth gap through M&A will seek to increase and preserve their firepower by improving working capital management, divesting non-strategic assets, conducting more careful strategic diligence to ensure targets are valued appropriately in the face of stiffer competition, and employing novel deal structures to mitigate risk."

About Ernst & Young's Global Life Sciences Center

Ernst & Young's Global Life Sciences Center brings together a worldwide team of professionals to help life sciences companies address their challenges at every stage of development. From the emerging biotech or medtech firm to the well-established, global pharmaceutical company, our industry teams bring deep experience in providing assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services. The Center works to anticipate market trends, identify implications and develop points of view on relevant industry issues. Whether it's forming innovative alliances, improving operations, new regulations or exploring new markets, we can give you a clear perspective on how to drive value in an increasingly complex, competitive and risk-driven environment. It's how Ernst & Young makes a difference. For more information, please visit www.ey.com/lifesciences or email [email protected]. You can also connect with us on our Changing Business of Life Sciences blog, www.lifesciencesblog.ey.com

About Ernst & Young

Ernst & Young is a global leader in assurance, tax, transactions and advisory services. Worldwide, our 167,000 people are united by our shared values and an unwavering commitment to quality. We make a difference by helping our people, our clients and our wider communities achieve their potential.

Ernst & Young refers to the global organization of member firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients. For more information about our organization, please visit www.ey.com.

This news release has been issued by EYGM Limited, a member of the global Ernst & Young organization that also does not provide any services to clients.

Daniel Cusworth

Gregory Kelley

Ernst & Young Global Media Relations 

Feinstein Kean Healthcare

+44 (20) 7980 0402

+ 1 404 881 2302

[email protected]  

[email protected]

 

SOURCE Ernst & Young

More Stories By PR Newswire

Copyright © 2007 PR Newswire. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PRNewswire content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of PRNewswire. PRNewswire shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

Latest Stories
Collecting data in the field and configuring multitudes of unique devices is a time-consuming, labor-intensive process that can stretch IT resources. Horan & Bird [H&B], Australia’s fifth-largest Solar Panel Installer, wanted to automate sensor data collection and monitoring from its solar panels and integrate the data with its business and marketing systems. After data was collected and structured, two major areas needed to be addressed: improving developer workflows and extending access to a b...
When an enterprise builds a hybrid IaaS cloud connecting its data center to one or more public clouds, security is often a major topic along with the other challenges involved. Security is closely intertwined with the networking choices made for the hybrid cloud. Traditional networking approaches for building a hybrid cloud try to kludge together the enterprise infrastructure with the public cloud. Consequently this approach requires risky, deep "surgery" including changes to firewalls, subnets...
Containers Expo Blog covers the world of containers, as this lightweight alternative to virtual machines enables developers to work with identical dev environments and stacks. Containers Expo Blog offers top articles, news stories, and blog posts from the world's well-known experts and guarantees better exposure for its authors than any other publication. Bookmark Containers Expo Blog ▸ Here Follow new article posts on Twitter at @ContainersExpo
The true value of the Internet of Things (IoT) lies not just in the data, but through the services that protect the data, perform the analysis and present findings in a usable way. With many IoT elements rooted in traditional IT components, Big Data and IoT isn’t just a play for enterprise. In fact, the IoT presents SMBs with the prospect of launching entirely new activities and exploring innovative areas. CompTIA research identifies several areas where IoT is expected to have the greatest impac...
There is little doubt that Big Data solutions will have an increasing role in the Enterprise IT mainstream over time. 8th International Big Data Expo, co-located with 17th International Cloud Expo - to be held November 3-5, 2015, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA - has announced its Call for Papers is open. As advanced data storage, access and analytics technologies aimed at handling high-volume and/or fast moving data all move center stage, aided by the cloud computing bo...
The 4th International Internet of @ThingsExpo, co-located with the 17th International Cloud Expo - to be held November 3-5, 2015, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA - announces that its Call for Papers is open. The Internet of Things (IoT) is the biggest idea since the creation of the Worldwide Web more than 20 years ago.
The 5th International DevOps Summit, co-located with 17th International Cloud Expo – being held November 3-5, 2015, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA – announces that its Call for Papers is open. Born out of proven success in agile development, cloud computing, and process automation, DevOps is a macro trend you cannot afford to miss. From showcase success stories from early adopters and web-scale businesses, DevOps is expanding to organizations of all sizes, including the...
Over the years, a variety of methodologies have emerged in order to overcome the challenges related to project constraints. The successful use of each methodology seems highly context-dependent. However, communication seems to be the common denominator of the many challenges that project management methodologies intend to resolve. In this respect, Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) can be viewed as powerful tools for managing projects. Few research papers have focused on the way...
As the world moves from DevOps to NoOps, application deployment to the cloud ought to become a lot simpler. However, applications have been architected with a much tighter coupling than it needs to be which makes deployment in different environments and migration between them harder. The microservices architecture, which is the basis of many new age distributed systems such as OpenStack, Netflix and so on is at the heart of CloudFoundry – a complete developer-oriented Platform as a Service (PaaS...
The Industrial Internet revolution is now underway, enabled by connected machines and billions of devices that communicate and collaborate. The massive amounts of Big Data requiring real-time analysis is flooding legacy IT systems and giving way to cloud environments that can handle the unpredictable workloads. Yet many barriers remain until we can fully realize the opportunities and benefits from the convergence of machines and devices with Big Data and the cloud, including interoperability, ...
You use an agile process; your goal is to make your organization more agile. But what about your data infrastructure? The truth is, today's databases are anything but agile - they are effectively static repositories that are cumbersome to work with, difficult to change, and cannot keep pace with application demands. Performance suffers as a result, and it takes far longer than it should to deliver new features and capabilities needed to make your organization competitive. As your application an...
Move from reactive to proactive cloud management in a heterogeneous cloud infrastructure. In his session at 16th Cloud Expo, Manoj Khabe, Innovative Solution-Focused Transformation Leader at Vicom Computer Services, Inc., will show how to replace a help desk-centric approach with an ITIL-based service model and service-centric CMDB that’s tightly integrated with an event and incident management platform. Learn how to expand the scope of operations management to service management. He will al...
High-performing enterprise Software Quality Assurance (SQA) teams validate systems that are ready for use - getting most actively involved as components integrate and form complete systems. These teams catch and report on defects, making sure the customer gets the best software possible. SQA teams have leveraged automation and virtualization to execute more thorough testing in less time - bringing Dev and Ops together, ensuring production readiness. Does the emergence of DevOps mean the end of E...
Amazon and Google have built software-defined data centers (SDDCs) that deliver massively scalable services with great efficiency. Yet, building SDDCs has proven to be a near impossibility for companies without hyper-scale resources. In his session at 15th Cloud Expo, David Cauthron, CTO and Founder of NIMBOXX, highlighted how a mid-sized manufacturer of global industrial equipment bridged the gap from virtualization to software-defined services, streamlining operations and costs while connect...
The widespread success of cloud computing is driving the DevOps revolution in enterprise IT. Now as never before, development teams must communicate and collaborate in a dynamic, 24/7/365 environment. There is no time to wait for long development cycles that produce software that is obsolete at launch. DevOps may be disruptive, but it is essential. The DevOps Summit at Cloud Expo – to be held June 3-5, 2015, at the Javits Center in New York City – will expand the DevOps community, enable a wide...