|By Adrian Bridgwater||
|December 13, 2013 09:00 AM EST||
It's that time of the year again. That time when we humans like to celebrate the annual revolution of our arbitrary measure of chronological quantities and units known as time. Or to put it another way, it's that time of the year for 2014 predictions, postulations and hypothesizing on the state of the road ahead.
The very easiest and possibly most certain prediction we can make for technology as we head into 2014 is that we are precisely five years away from the next major paradigm shift in IT, as compared to where we stand today. Paradigm platform shifts come around just about every five years - you can count on it.
Five years ago we didn't have the iPad or major broadband rollout in most Western nations; five years from now in 2019 you'll be able to look back at similar advancements, if you take a holistic view of our position as we stand today.
What of 2014?
What can we expect more immediately in 2014? It might sound somewhat latent to say this now, but next year will be the period during which so-called Bring Your Own Technology (BYOD) computing really starts to have a deeper impact.
There is now a "digital understanding" among staff (including knowledge workers and blue collars) at all levels inside the business and this transition can be witnessed across all industry verticals. From high-flying financial hedge fund managers to plumbers, people know how to use the basic functions of a smartphone and much more.
This advancement will now have a much deeper impact on the way CIOs can exert pressure upon their organizations from a budgetary and strategic planning point of view. Up until now it's all been about getting used to BYOD, locking down security of personal devices, pushing apps to the cloud to control from the back end and capitalizing on the savings and efficiencies that can be reaped from BYOD.
The year that BYOD bites back
Onwards from this point, into 2014, BYOD will start to bite back and staff will potentially bypass the IT department altogether if users can get the apps they want with the data they need - and get the job done. Business managers will only encourage this maverick waywardness as they see more immediate Return on Investment and the rise of what we will now call ‘Business to Employee' (B2E) applications starting to swell.
This ‘Business to Employee' (B2E) trend also sees a simplification of app creation as yet more control falls into the hands of the users.
Where does this put us by 2019?
We could ruminate on where this will put us at the end of the next paradigm shift innovation cycle in 2019, but we don't necessarily need to do that. We can probably look closer to around 2016, two years from now. Technology commentators reasonably estimate that more than two thirds of CIOs will see a dramatic change in their primary role over the next 18 months to two years. The role changes from one of IT manager (so to speak) to one of IT innovator, i.e., less of the job really involves the management of devices, more of the job focuses on platforms and data workflows.
In the cloud powered near and immediate future the CIO role also morphs to become the CxO (Chief ExPerience Office), as vulgar as the expression of that designation may sound today.
A demographic shift is occurring in terms of the way BYOD is impacting the workforce and the corporate datacenter - now is the time to realize this and take action.