SYS-CON MEDIA Authors: Ian Khan, Liz McMillan, AppDynamics Blog, Harry Trott, Blue Box Blog

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Fitch Rates Comcast's Sr. Unsecured Notes 'A-'; Outlook Stable

Fitch Ratings has assigned an 'A-' rating to Comcast Corporation's (Comcast) benchmark size, senior unsecured notes maturing 2024 and 2044. Proceeds from the offering are expected to be used for general corporate purposes which may include the repayment of amounts outstanding under the company's commercial paper program and a portion of NBCUniversal's $900 million principal amount of 2.1% notes due April 2014. The notes will be guaranteed by Comcast's subsidiaries included in the company's cross-guaranty structure. The Rating Outlook for all of Comcast's ratings is Stable. As of Dec. 31, 2013 Comcast had approximately $48.6 billion of debt outstanding, including $11.2 billion outstanding at NBCUniversal Media, LLC (NBCUniversal).

KEY RATING DRIVERS

--Comcast's pending merger with TWC is strategically sound and creates significant opportunity to realize operating and capital spending efficiencies with minimal execution risk and enables the combined entity to effectively compete on a national scale for incremental commercial segment business.

--The all-stock consideration structure of the merger with TWC is not expected to have a material impact on Comcast's credit protection measures.

--Comcast's capital structure and financial strategy remains intact and centered on reducing leverage to its target of between 1.5x and 2.0x.

--Fitch does not expect any material change to Comcast's capital allocation strategy over the near term and believes there is sufficient capacity within the ratings to accommodate a contemplated expansion of Comcast's share repurchase authorization.

Comcast's ratings reflect its strong competitive position as one of the largest video, high-speed Internet and phone providers to residential and business customers in the U.S. and the company's compelling subscriber clustering profile. In Fitch's view, NBCUniversal's size, scale, leading brand positions, and diversity of operations and business risk as one of the world's leading media and entertainment companies, all lower the business risk attributable to Comcast's credit profile. These factors also create new avenues for revenue and cash flow growth while limiting the near-term impact on Comcast's balance sheet and credit profile.

The pending merger with TWC enables Comcast to extend its operating strategies and technology roadmap into TWC's operations, creating the opportunity to realize material operating cost and capital spending efficiencies. Fitch points out that Comcast's cable-segment EBITDA margin was nearly 500 basis points higher than the comparable TWC EBITDA margin during the year ended 2013. Comcast's ability to successfully establish its key operating strategies within TWC's legacy operations creates a potential $1 billion EBITDA benefit for the combined entity. Additionally, the national scope of the combined entities' cable infrastructure will position the company to effectively compete for a higher tier commercial business. Combined commercial-segment revenues totaled approximately $5.5 billion during 2013, representing the second-fastest growing business segment of the combined entity. Fitch anticipates the merger with TWC will close by the end of 2014.

Fitch estimates that approximately $73.6 billion of debt and preferred stock was outstanding as of Dec. 31, 2013 on a pro forma basis translating into pro forma leverage of 2.5x. The pro forma leverage represents a modest increase relative to Comcast's actual leverage of 2.2x (Fitch calculation). Fitch expects Comcast's credit profile will strengthen on a pro forma basis with consolidated pro forma leverage of 2.2x by year-end 2014, approaching 2x by the end of 2015 in the absence of significant cost or operating synergies.

Comcast's liquidity position and overall financial flexibility are strong based on Fitch's expectation that the company will continue to generate material amounts of free cash flow (FCF). Fitch acknowledges that Comcast's share repurchase program represents a significant use of cash; however, Fitch believes that the company would reduce the level of share repurchases should the operating environment materially change, in order to maximize financial flexibility. The liquidity position is further supported by cash on hand (which totaled $1.7 billion on a consolidated basis as of Dec. 31, 2013) and $4.7 billion of collective available borrowing capacity (as of Dec. 31, 2013) from Comcast's two revolving credit facilities. Commitments under Comcast's $6.25 billion revolver will expire during June 2017 while the commitments related to NBCUniversal Enterprise's $1.35 billion revolver expire during March 2018.

Comcast's debt maturity profile is well-laddered and within Fitch's FCF expectation. Maturities total approximately $1.9 billion during 2014 (including $900 million at NBCUniversal Media) excluding outstanding commercial paper, followed by $3.4 billion during 2015.

RATING SENSITIVITIES:

--A positive rating action would likely coincide with Comcast achieving and committing to a financial policy consistent with an 'A' rating, including maintaining its leverage below 1.5x on a sustained basis. Comcast would need to demonstrate that its operating profile will not materially decline in the face of competition and less than robust housing and employment conditions.

--Negative rating actions would likely coincide with discretionary actions of Comcast's management including, but not limited to, the company adopting a more aggressive financial strategy, or event-driven merger and acquisition activity, that drive leverage beyond 2.5x in the absence of a credible deleveraging plan.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

--'Corporate Rating Methodology' (Aug. 5, 2013);

--'Rating Telecom Companies' (Aug. 9, 2012).

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

Rating Telecom Companies

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=682323

Corporate Rating Methodology: Including Short-Term Ratings and Parent and Subsidiary Linkage

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=715139

Additional Disclosure

Solicitation Status

http://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=821038

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE.

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