Moore's Law Will End in 10-15 Years...Says Gordon Moore

The i-Technology Media!	Register \| Log in

.NET · AJAX · CLOUD · ECLIPSE · FLEX · OPEN WEB · iPHONE · JAVA · LINUX · OPEN SOURCE · ORACLE · PBDJ · SEARCH · SILVERLIGHT · SOA · VIRTUALIZATION · WEB 2.0 · WIRELESS · XML

Comments

Drool, Britannia? Is the UK Failing the Cloud?

By Roger Strukhoff

Richard Davies wrote: The UK has a good crop of technology pioneers in cloud computing - for example ElasticHosts, FlexiScale, Flexiant, OnApp - and also some strong government initiatives such as G-Cloud. We will have to see whether this kind of technical leadership converts into swift mass-market adoption or not.

Jan. 8, 2012 11:38 AM EST

read more & respond »

Cloud Expo on Google News

Did you read today's front page stories & breaking news?

Cloud Expo & Virtualization 2011 West

Keynotes

Oracle

Opening Keynote | An Enterprise Cloud for Business-Critical Applications

Abiquo

Day 2 Keynote | The Enterprise Cloud Tightrope - Balancing for Success

Akamai

Day 3 Keynote | The DNA of an Enterprise Cloud

DIAMOND SPONSOR:

Oracle

Many Clouds, Many Choices'Cloud

PLATINUM PLUS SPONSORS:

Abiquo

Enterprise Cloud Best Practices - Town Hall - Join the discussion…

PLATINUM SPONSORS:

Intel

Progressing Toward the Federated, Automated and Client-Aware Cloud

New Relic

How to build an app with Twitter-like throughput

Rackspace

Computing in the Cloud Era

GOLD SPONSORS:

Gale Technologies

Practical Cloud Migration

IBM

Re-think IT. Re-inventing Business.

Intel/McAfee

Identity Driven Security in the Cloud

PerspecSys

Hackers Hackers Everywhere, Is My Public Cloud That Safe?

Red Hat

Unlock the Value of the Cloud

SHI

Mission Critical Applications and the Cloud - Myth or Reality?

SoftLayer

Not Your Grandpa's Cloud

Terremark

Integrating Enterprise Clouds

VMware

Upgrade to a vCloud

POWER PANELS:

Cloud Expo Silicon Valley: CTO Power Panel

Cloud Expo Silicon Valley: CEO Power Panel

Cloud Expo Silicon Valley: Cloud SuperStars Panel

Cloud Expo Silicon Valley: CloudNOW Panel

Click For 2010 West
Event Webcasts

Cloud Expo & Virtualization 2011 East

DIAMOND SPONSOR:

Dell

Dell & VMware Deliver the Enterprise Hybrid Cloud

PLATINUM PLUS SPONSORS:

Abiquo

Are Financial Services Organizations Risking Security by Avoiding Cloud Computing?

Oracle

From Consolidation to Enterprise Private PaaS

PLATINUM SPONSORS:

Intel

Driving the Transformation to Next Generation Cloud Data Centers

Rackspace

The Inevitability of an Open Cloud

GOLD SPONSORS:

CA Technologies

Follow YOUR path to Cloud Computing

Interxion

Who Keeps the Cloud in the Air?

Microsoft

Patterns for Cloud Computing

PerspecSys

War in the Clouds: Are you ready?

ServiceMesh

The Big Win: Stop Playing Small-Ball with Your Cloud Strategy

Terremark

Evaluating Enterprise Clouds

Xiotech

Cloud Storage: Myths and Realities

POWER PANELS:

Cloud Expo New York: CTO Power Panel

Cloud Expo New York: CEO Power Panel

Cloud Expo New York: CMO Power Panel

Cloud Expo New York: Wrap-Up Power Panel

Click For 2010 West
Event Webcasts

Live Google News by SYS-CON!

Top Three Links You Must Click On

News Desk

Moore's Law Will End in 10-15 Years...Says Gordon Moore

The laws of physics will render it obsolete

By: Java News Desk

Sep. 19, 2007 05:00 AM

Speaking at a conference yesterday, Gordon Moore conceded that there are fundamental limits to Moore's Law - which states that the number of transistors that can be inexpensively placed on an integrated circuit is increasing exponentially, doubling approximately every two years - and that the laws of physics will render it obsolete in about ten to fifteen years' time.

"Any physical quantity that's growing exponentially predicts a disaster," Moore told an interviewer. "It comes to some kind of an end. You can't go beyond the certain major limits."

Moore's original statement was made as long ago as 1965 and the rate has been maintained so far right into 2007.

He's stated before, in 2005 in fact, that the law cannot be sustained indefinitely. Back then he noted:

"In terms of size [of transistor] you can see that we're approaching the size of atoms which is a fundamental barrier, but it'll be two or three generations before we get that far—but that's as far out as we've ever been able to see. We have another 10 to 20 years before we reach a fundamental limit. By then they'll be able to make bigger chips and have transistor budgets in the billions."

But as Wikipedia open-mindedly notes: "Then again, the law has often met obstacles that appeared insurmountable, before soon surmounting them."

About Java News Desk
JDJ News Desk monitors the world of Java to present IT professionals with updates on technology advances, business trends, new products and standards in the Java and i-technology space.

Reader Feedback: Page 1 of 1

#6	Free PS3 commented on 29 Feb 2008 The speed section of the law is (generally) related to the size of the channel lenght, speed increases with 1/L^2 they need to fundamentally re-think the fabrication of transistors, but indeed exciting times.
#5	Free iPod Touch commented on 26 Feb 2008 As long as the speed section of his law continues then I don't think this news can be a bad thing. We must continue to push the limits of our current hardware and ensure that we research new techniques to keep the computer revolution alive. Quantum computers anyone?
#4	free ipod touch commented on 15 Feb 2008 Its good that moores law will end, it demonstrates how the human race has advanced recently and are growing into new and undiscovered areas of the world
#3	Jose commented on 22 Dec 2007 Interesting theory gordon.
#2	Jake commented on 15 Dec 2007 Good luck Gordon!
#1	boardinsnowman commented on 15 Nov 2007 While the specifics of his law (X*2) may end soon, I'm sure results of his theory will continue (speed). Of course there is a limit to transistors on a chip, no matter how small they may be. But, as we've seen with multiple cores, there are other options. Compared to my childhood, current technology is unbelievable. -- I remember when it was a huge deal that they could fit 88MB on a SyQuest disk! Now, for only $15 I have 1GB on my keychain. Don't give up yet Gordon. I still believe in you!