SYS-CON MEDIA Authors: Liz McMillan, Yeshim Deniz, Elizabeth White, Pat Romanski, William Schmarzo

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Jetcraft publie sa quatrième prévision annuelle de marché sur 10 ans

Jetcraft, leader mondial des ventes et acquisitions d’avions d’affaires publie aujourd’hui sa quatrième prévision annuelle du marché de l’aviation d’affaires sur 10 ans.

Les prévisions de marché annuelles réaffirment cette croissance constante du secteur des jets privés, avec une prévision d'une livraison de 8 736 unités dans le courant des dix prochaines années, ce qui représente 271 milliards de dollars de revenus (sur la base des tarifs de 2018). L'Amérique du Nord reprendra son rôle de leader avec 60 % (5 241) de nouvelles livraisons prévues au cours de cette période, l'Europe prévoyant 18 % (1 572) et l'Asie-Pacifique 13 % (1 136).

Jahid Fazal-Karim, propriétaire et président du conseil d’administration de Jetcraft, a déclaré : « 2018 a été un véritable tournant pour l’aviation d’affaires, car nous avons réussi à traverser la période la plus difficile de notre secteur. Les prévisions de cette année prévoient la poursuite de notre cycle économique actuel marqué par une croissance constante et saine, qui est due à une augmentation de la création de richesses et par la demande d'avions plus gros et plus coûteux ».

L’augmentation de la création de richesses au cours de la dernière décennie a stimulé la croissance des family offices, qui offrent désormais une grande variété de services spécialisés, notamment l’aviation d’affaires. Avec l’augmentation du nombre de blocs-charter et de programmes fractionnés, les UHNWI sont plus présents que jamais dans ce secteur.

Cependant, malgré une croissance économique constante, les sociétés du classement Fortune 500 n’ont pas encore retrouvé les niveaux historiques de leurs transactions aériennes, en ayant d’autres priorités financières, telles que le rachat d’actions et le remboursement de la dette. Il est peu probable que ce segment de clientèle relance les programmes d’achat d’appareils avant que le cycle soit bien entamé.

Selon les prévisions, la catégorie des gros porteurs, comprenant les très grands segments de lignes aériennes très long courriers converties, représentera 32 % du total des unités (2 778) et 64 % du total des revenus au cours de la prochaine décennie. Tous les nouveaux programmes de modèles d'appareils, annoncés ou projetés pendant la période de prévision, sont exclusivement des gros porteurs.

Fazal-Karim a ajouté : « Les livraisons d’unités prévues dans la catégorie des gros porteurs représentent une part considérable du chiffre d’affaires total du secteur, ce qui témoigne de la tendance pour de plus gros avions et de plus longue portée pour répondre aux besoins commerciaux mondiaux d'aujourd'hui.

Alors que le secteur est prêt à entamer une période de croissance substantielle, la résilience acquise avec les difficultés vécues lors du précédent cycle économique l'a bien préparé à son expansion.

Fazal-Karim a conclu par ces mots : « Nous sommes convaincus que les leçons apprises au cours de la dernière décennie garantiront une croissance durable à l'aviation d'affaires dans les années à venir. Notre secteur est durable et l’avenir, prometteur ».

Vous pouvez télécharger l’ensemble des prévisions de 2018 pour le marché de l’aviation d’affaires sur 10 ans de Jetcraft à l’adresse suivante : https://www.jetcraft.com/knowledge/market-forecast. Graphiques du rapport disponibles pour publication sur demande.

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