suedunnell wrote: Hi Again - I should add my name to comment #1 above and ask that if anyone has questions, they can either post them here or ask me directly:
Sue Dunnell
PowerBuilder Product Manager
978 287 1752
sue.dunnell@sybase.com
A reported tête-à-tête between Microsoft
and Yahoo on March 10 at which Microsoft is supposed to have painted its
picture of what a combined company would look like apparently hasn’t advanced
Microsoft’s suit any – at least not at the price it’s offering to pay.
Yahoo Tuesday offered its rationale for rejecting
Microsoft’s $31-a-share bid as undervalued.
According to a three-year plan Yahoo management used to
dazzle the company’s board in December before Microsoft went public with its
Yahoo lust, Yahoo’s operating cash flow should double from $1.9 billion to $3.7
billion and generate $8.8 billion in revenue in 2010 excluding what it pays in
traffic acquisition costs (TAC).
The projected growth includes $1.9 billion in added revenue
ex-TAC over the next three years from display/video advertising – outpacing
current market projection – and $1.4 billion in added search revenue – a figure
that’s in line with market projections.
Only nothing in Yahoo’s performance the last few years
supports its hitting these numbers.
Yahoo, which is supposed to want $40 a share if it can’t
stay independent, also restated its previous guidance for both its first
quarter and the rest of the year.
In the quarter it’s supposed to do $1.68 billion-$1.84
billion in revenue and in the year $7.2 billion-$8 billion.
Yahoo needs to deliver results this quarter to have any hope
of negotiating with Microsoft. If it performs like last quarter it’ll just be
carrion.
The Wall Street Journal, quoting unidentified sources, says
Microsoft won’t raise its offer unless it gets a look at Yahoo’s books.
There is debate on Wall Street over whether it needs to
since no viable alternative has presented itself.
According to Yahoo, however, it “provides meaningful
strategic value and warrants a significant acquisition premium above its equity
value.”
In its analysis it would raise Microsoft’s “sub-scale”
profile in Internet search and display, deepen its position in Asia and potentially turn Microsoft’s unprofitable online
business into a significantly profitable one.
Google CEO Eric Schmidt, meanwhile, claimed from Beijing that a
Microsoft-Yahoo tie-up could break the Internet.
Among a few well-chosen barbs, Reuters says he said, “We
would hope that anything they did would be consistent with the openness of the
Internet, but I doubt it would be.”
Although there is some debate on Wall Street over whether
buying Yahoo’s the best use of Microsoft’s money, financial analysts believe
the takeover is inevitable – almost to a man, according to a Reuters poll.
About Maureen O'Gara Maureen O'Gara the most read technology reporter for the past 20 years, is the Cloud Computing and Virtualization News Desk editor of SYS-CON Media. She is the publisher of famous "Billygrams" and the editor-in-chief of "Client/Server News" for more than a decade. One of the most respected technology reporters in the business, Maureen can be reached by email at maureen(at)sys-con.com or paperboy(at)g2news.com, and by phone at 516 759-7025.
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